A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our livesThomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly ac…
A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.
Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.
Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
EXTRA 15 % nuolaida su kodu: ENG15
21,67 €
25,49 €
Išsiųsime per 10–14 d.d.
Akcija baigiasi už 3d.15:32:16
Nuolaidos kodas galioja perkant nuo 10 €. Nuolaidos nesumuojamos.
Prisijunkite ir už šią prekę gausite 0,25 Knygų Eurų!?
A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.
Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.
Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
Atsiliepimai
Atsiliepimų nėra
0 pirkėjai įvertino šią prekę.
5
0%
4
0%
3
0%
2
0%
1
0%
Kainos garantija
Ženkliuku „Kainos garantija” pažymėtoms prekėms Knygos.lt garantuoja geriausią kainą. Jei identiška prekė kitoje internetinėje parduotuvėje kainuoja mažiau - kompensuojame kainų skirtumą. Kainos lyginamos su knygos.lt nurodytų parduotuvių sąrašu prekių kainomis. Knygos.lt įsipareigoja kompensuoti kainų skirtumą pirkėjui, kuris kreipėsi „Kainos garantijos” taisyklėse nurodytomis sąlygomis. Sužinoti daugiau
Elektroninė knyga
22,39 €
DĖMESIO!
Ši knyga pateikiama ACSM formatu. Jis nėra tinkamas įprastoms skaityklėms, kurios palaiko EPUB ar MOBI formato el. knygas.
Svarbu! Nėra galimybės siųstis el. knygų jungiantis iš Jungtinės Karalystės.
Tai knyga, kurią parduoda privatus žmogus. Kai apmokėsite užsakymą, jį per 7 d. išsiųs knygos pardavėjas . Jei to pardavėjas nepadarys laiku, pinigai jums bus grąžinti automatiškai.
Šios knygos būklė nėra įvertinta knygos.lt ekspertų, todėl visa atsakomybė už nurodytą knygos kokybę priklauso pardavėjui.
Atsiliepimai